the podcast on

Health has always been a portfolio MPs never want a bar of.
You never win. Endless fights with the unions. People waiting for surgery. Constant pressure to keep up with technology. And it鈥檚 deeply personal for those who don鈥檛 get the care they need - it鈥檚 literally life-and-death stuff.
So if the numbers Simeon Brown is putting out are to be believed鈥攁nd I鈥檝e no reason to doubt them鈥攖hen he deserves some credit.
Cancer wait times, immunisations, elective surgeries, and ED numbers are all heading in the right direction.
It鈥檚 by no means 鈥渏ob done,鈥 and some of the movement is only a few percent鈥攓uarter-on-quarter comparisons.
But for a government the media would have you believe is traditionally stingy and ineffective in health, at least we now have measurable results to compare. And they鈥檙e not terrible.
Labour will come out today and slam this. They鈥檒l say grandma鈥檚 hip operation is being farmed out to the private sector.
And you know what grandma will say? Who cares鈥擨鈥檝e got a new hip.
This is all short-term stuff. The bigger question is how we plan to pay for this expensive system in 20 years鈥 time when the population crunch hits.
Treasury ran some numbers.
They looked at health spending on pensioners as a share of the overall health budget:
- 1951: 29%
- Today: 40%
- 2051: 63%
So two-thirds of the health budget will be spent on over-65s. And there鈥檒l be fewer workers to pay for it.
The problem with a decent health system is that people live longer as a result. It鈥檚 a vicious cycle.
Of course, nobody wants grandma to die鈥攂ut if Simeon Brown keeps this up, we鈥檒l be bankrupt before that happens.
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