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If you bump into Chris Hipkins today, can you tell him he鈥檚 dreaming?
Because, now that we know this year鈥檚 election is happening on 7 November, Chris Hipkins is saying that Labour can get more than 40 percent of the party vote and form the next government.
He also wants Labour to win back Auckland.
He鈥檚 dreaming. Because I don鈥檛 think voters, generally, are ready yet to give Labour another chance. And I don鈥檛 think voters in Auckland, especially, are ready to trust Labour again.
Hipkins is doing what leaders do - especially in election year. They rally the troops. But it鈥檚 going to be a big task keeping the troops rallied for 10 months.
And I know Labour will be disappointed that the election isn鈥檛 happening sooner. An earlier election would have meant less time for the economy to recover. Plus, Labour has nowhere near the same campaign resources that the likes of the National Party has.
So it鈥檚 going to be a tough winter for the party.
The thing is: what would we need to see from Labour or hear from Labour to buy into this talk from Chris Hipkins that it鈥檚 a different party from last time around? Rather than banging-on about changing and being different, we need to hear what it is the party has accepted about itself that has driven this so-called change. It鈥檚 very easy to say 鈥渙h, we鈥檝e changed. we鈥檙e different now, you鈥檙e gonna love the new us鈥. That鈥檚 just telling people what you think people want to hear.
To even think about giving Labour another chance so soon, people need to see the difference.
Let me give you an example: you鈥檙e running a cafe but customers are leaving in droves because they don鈥檛 like the way you and your staff treat them when they come in for lunch or a coffee. You鈥檙e a bunch of grumps. Terrible vibe. So people give you the flick. You realise what鈥檚 happening and you go onto your Facebook page and you say 鈥渉ey guys, I鈥檓 hearing that some of you haven鈥檛 been that impressed with our service. Hey, I鈥檝e had a word to the team and we鈥檙e different now, we鈥檝e changed our ways, so come on back.鈥
Would you buy into that? I鈥檓 picking voters will be exactly the same with Labour.
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