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'No guarantee': Top graduates confront bleak job prospects in China

Author
Washington Post,
Publish Date
Mon, 14 Jul 2025, 1:50pm
Chinese graduates face a tough job market requiring master's degrees for top jobs. Photo / the Washington Post
Chinese graduates face a tough job market requiring master's degrees for top jobs. Photo / the Washington Post

'No guarantee': Top graduates confront bleak job prospects in China

Author
Washington Post,
Publish Date
Mon, 14 Jul 2025, 1:50pm

As an undergraduate at Peking University, one of China鈥檚 most prestigious universities, Crystal knew she wanted to end up working at one of China鈥檚 top tech or finance conglomerates.

Throughout university, Crystal, who gave only her first name for fear of reprisal from her employer for speaking to the press, did all she could to make herself hireable.

She took part in case-study competitions from United States management consulting firm Bain and Company, eager to show versatility beyond her humanities degree.

She completed four internships at tech companies including ByteDance, the maker of TikTok, and Rednote, China鈥檚 version of Instagram.

By the time she graduated in 2023, Crystal ranked in the top 10% of her class.

Yet Crystal鈥檚 stellar CV left her with just one realistic postgrad option: a master鈥檚 degree in economics and management, and two more years before she could enter the workforce.

鈥淭here鈥檚 no guarantee鈥 of a job out of undergrad anymore, Crystal said.

鈥淏y the time we graduated, the economic outlook was pretty dismal. The Peking University class of 2014 might have got a decent job and lived a comfortable life no matter what after graduating, but it鈥檚 not like that for us.鈥

Crystal鈥檚 situation reflects the struggles that recent college graduates 鈥 even top performers from China鈥檚 elite institutions 鈥 face while navigating the country鈥檚 post-pandemic job market.

鈥淚t isn鈥檛 just that recent cohorts of undergraduates from elite institutions couldn鈥檛 find high-paying jobs,鈥 said Nancy Qian, an economics professor at Northwestern University鈥檚 Kellogg School of Management.

鈥淭hey were fighting really hard to get a pretty mediocre-paying job 鈥 meaning that the money wouldn鈥檛 be enough to live independently.鈥

Since the coronavirus pandemic brought the Chinese economy to a crashing halt, followed by a plodding, uneven recovery, newly minted graduates in China have faced a daunting labour market marred by layoffs and downsizing.

As more and more Chinese students graduate each June to fill fewer and fewer spots, top-paying private sector firms have pivoted to mostly recruiting those with master鈥檚 degrees, according to students and experts.

Alumni of China鈥檚 top undergraduate programmes have long flocked to graduate school: around 80% of Peking University graduates each year elect to continue their education.

But rather than earning a master鈥檚 to guarantee a higher future salary, students are now pursuing graduate degrees simply to secure a job, Qian said.

Even that may not be enough.

鈥淢any people mistakenly assume that once they have a graduate degree, they will receive a golden key to employment,鈥 wrote a 2023 report from Zhaopin, one of China鈥檚 largest online recruitment platforms.

鈥淏ut in reality, that only buys a ticket to entry. Whether you can land a good job still depends on your abilities 鈥 having academic qualifications is the bare minimum needed for job searchers, not an advantage.鈥

More Chinese students are also pursuing graduate degrees from domestic institutions in comparison to years past.

At Beijing鈥檚 Tsinghua University 鈥 consistently ranked the best university in the nation 鈥 54% of the class of 2013 chose to commit to a Chinese graduate programme. By 2022, that figure rose to 66%, according to Tsinghua鈥檚 postgraduation outcome reports.

At Peking, 48% of the class of 2019 enrolled in a Chinese master鈥檚 or PhD. For the class of 2024, that number was 66%.

Students now think, 鈥溾業f employers have increasingly high requirements, then I have to meet those requirements. So getting a graduate degree has become something I need to do,鈥欌 said Dong Jiachen, a recent graduate of the sociology master鈥檚 programme at Peking University.

Like Crystal, Dong knew that she wanted to work in the private sector 鈥 and that earning a master鈥檚 would be just the start.

鈥淓ven before beginning the job search, you need to complete a number of internships, obtain the relevant certifications, practice for the written tests you鈥檒l be given by employers and so on,鈥 said Dong, who worked six internships before landing a fulltime job at Meituan, China鈥檚 DoorDash equivalent, this year.

Since China began liberalising its economy in the late 1970s, the country has experienced bouts of unemployment, Qian said. But 鈥渢he thing that was really surprising for this wave of hardships of the job market is that it hit the people who are usually considered the safest, which is the elite educated,鈥 she added.

Many recent graduates who have worked hard to propel themselves into elite institutions are 鈥渄ispirited鈥, Qian said.

鈥淭here鈥檚 a question of, 鈥榃hat was the point of it all? Why do we work so hard? Maybe we should just give up.鈥欌

Would-be employees are also now demanding more from their workplaces, said Lily Liu, the former chief executive of a Chinese online recruitment platform with around 100,000 users.

鈥淩ecent graduates鈥 expectations are now multifaceted 鈥 expectations for the corporate environment, the industry values, the salary, the distance from home, the location. If these expectations are not met, recent graduates give up and go back to school.鈥

Qi Mingyao, founder and chief executive of Ruihua, a Beijing-based telecommunications firm, pointed to the wider issue of degree inflation in China.

鈥淲hen I entered college in 鈥92, 100% of undergraduates could find jobs after graduating, and good jobs at that,鈥 he said.

鈥淣ow, the graduate students of today are like the undergraduates of back then, and the undergraduates of today are like the vocational students of back then.鈥

Ruihua downsized from around 60 employees before the pandemic to around 20 employees now and has not hired anyone in the past few years because of the state of the economy, according to Qi.

If the company were to begin hiring again, Qi said he would seek out graduates with master鈥檚 degrees. 鈥淲e would be looking to develop our software, and graduate degree holders would have more specialised skills than undergraduate degree holders.鈥

The labour market downturn could lead to cascading demographic consequences for China.

The next generation of would-be parents 鈥渄on鈥檛 think they have money to get married and start a family鈥, Qian said.

鈥淲hen you have a lot of youth unemployment, all of those normal mechanisms for people to meet, socialise, get married and have children and families are broken.鈥

In August 2023, the Chinese Government stopped publishing youth unemployment data after the unemployment rate for 16- to 24-year-olds spiked to 21.3% in June of that year. Beijing began releasing the data again in January 2024, albeit with students excluded from the dataset.

As part of the new update, the National Bureau of Statistics also said it would split the 25-29 age bracket 鈥 previously bundled into the 25- to 59-year-old age bracket 鈥 into a separate category to reflect the 鈥渃ontinuous rise in the years of education youth receive鈥.

The youth unemployment rate for 16- to 24-year-olds was 14.9% in May.

The bleak outlook for new graduates shows little sign of improvement, especially given uncertainty over the Trump Administration鈥檚 tariffs on China. 鈥淭he impact of the American tariffs is that foreign firms are hiring for fewer positions in China,鈥 Liu said.

After completing her master鈥檚 this spring, Crystal is set to begin working at a leading tech firm in Beijing.

鈥淚f I compare myself to Americans or Europeans, of course I鈥檒l be unhappy 鈥 how can they have a 30-day holiday and still make so much per hour?鈥 she said.

鈥淏ut if I compare myself to previous generations in China, I feel like I don鈥檛 actually work that hard. My parents鈥 generation had long working hours too, and they didn鈥檛 eat well or wear nice clothes.

鈥淲hen I think about it that way, it just feels like it鈥檚 our turn to shoulder the hardships that come with our generation.鈥

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