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‘Let’s see if we can’t save more next year': After $21b in 2025, Govt eyes more cuts

Author
Thomas Coughlan,
Publish Date
Tue, 29 Jul 2025, 4:21pm

‘Let’s see if we can’t save more next year': After $21b in 2025, Govt eyes more cuts

Author
Thomas Coughlan,
Publish Date
Tue, 29 Jul 2025, 4:21pm

The Government has begun looking for cuts to fund its 2026 Budget, Associate Finance Minister David Seymour said.

Seymour said he hopes the Government can equal the savings it achieved in Budget 2024 and 2025 - and perhaps even exceed them.

In those Budgets, the Government paid for the new things that it wanted to do by cutting money from spending lines it disagreed with or found wasteful.

In Budget 2025, $4.8 billion in annual savings were found - mostly from changes to the pay equity regime. In 2024, $4.4b in annual savings were found. These partly paid for spending and tax cut packages of $6.7b in 2025 and $9.1b in 2024.

Stopped on his way into the House on Tuesday, Seymour said it would be 鈥渢otally irresponsible not to look for places where we can save money where it鈥檚 not doing good, and put it somewhere else鈥.

Seymour said the Government was getting a few 鈥渨hispers鈥 about the next Budget.

鈥淟ast year, we saved $115 million. [The] year before that, half a billion,鈥 Seymour said, referring to the savings attributed to him personally.

鈥淟et鈥檚 see if we can鈥檛 save more next year,鈥 he said.

Seymour said Budget 2026鈥檚 savings exercise would not be 鈥渞adically different鈥.

He said there was still wasteful spending to be found, noting the last Labour Government had inherited core public spending of about 28% of GDP and left behind a state spending about 33% of GDP a year.

Even accounting for increases in superannuation spending and debt servicing for the pandemic, Seymour reckoned there was still a large portion of spending that could be trimmed.

Seymour said Finance Minister Nicola Willis had put pressure on Treasury to 鈥渦pgrade the supply of information鈥, allowing better quality budgeting.

Finance Minister Nicola Willis said more savings could be found. Photo / Mark Mitchell

Finance Minister Nicola Willis said more savings could be found. Photo / Mark Mitchell

Willis said funding new spending initiatives by cutting spending the ministers deemed less essential was important, given the size of the Government鈥檚 deficit, which Treasury forecasts to be $14.1b this year, or 3.1% of GDP.

鈥淭he Government鈥檚 got a great track record of reprioritising funding so that we can put more investment into the things Kiwis care about: schools, hospitals, roads, police,鈥 Willis said.

Willis said the Government鈥檚 first Budget found $23b in savings and the second found $21b. These figures are calculated over multiple years.

鈥淲hat the number will be in our next Budget is yet to be worked out,鈥 Willis said.

When asked whether a similar dollar figure of savings could be found for the 2026 Budget, Willis said, 鈥渨e鈥檒l see鈥.

Willis said she did not think all the low-hanging fruit had been found when it came to savings.

鈥淭here are always areas where we should be demanding better value for taxpayers鈥 money and I always ask myself, 鈥榗an I really justify spending that money when a New Zealand household could probably do with it in their wallet?鈥欌 Willis said.

Willis said each Budget approach was similar. She sat down with the Prime Minister and her associate Finance Ministers, Seymour, Chris Bishop, and Shane Jones.

鈥淲e sit down together. We identify key themes where we think that there is room to find value. We also identify programmes of work that we think ministers should undertake to find savings,鈥 she said.

Willis said it was 鈥渇ar too soon鈥 to describe the nature of the savings programme.

It is not uncommon for a Government to cut spending it no longer thinks is valuable, to pay for something else.

The last Finance Minister, Grant Robertson, also undertook reprioritisation exercises prior to his budgets although these were far smaller in quantum.

In 2018, word of Labour鈥檚 Budget 2019 reprioritisations exercise leaked to National, who accused Labour of covert spending cuts.

Asked whether three successive savings programmes in a row risked prolonging negative economic sentiment, Willis accused people who made that argument of being 鈥渇iscally and economically ignorant鈥.

鈥淲e have one of the largest deficits in the OECD, which is to say we are spending billions more than we are earning as a country. Compared to many countries around the world, we are in a more deficit position than they are.

鈥淭o say that when we are running a deficit ... is economically ignorant. I have heard that ignorance from our political opponents. They need to get a maths textbook,鈥 Willis said.

Labour leader Chris Hipkins compared Luxon and Willis to a washing machine. Photo / Mark Mitchell

Labour leader Chris Hipkins compared Luxon and Willis to a washing machine. Photo / Mark Mitchell

Earlier this year, the Herald spoke to the big three ratings agencies for their view on the public finances.

New Zealand maintains a high credit rating. While the agencies said they were not alarmed with the fiscal situation at the moment, they wanted to see evidence of improvement.

S&P鈥檚 primary analyst for NZ, Martin Foo noted that NZ鈥檚 general government balance, his company鈥檚 preferred metric for whether the Government was in surplus or deficit, showed a deficit greater than 6% of GDP - putting NZ in the realm of France and the United States, countries known for running huge deficits.

The Government鈥檚 fiscal and economic strategy is partly to reduce the deficit to help put downward pressure on inflation and interest rates, stimulating confidence and economic recovery.

Month after month of gloomy economic data, only partly offset by a recovery in the primary sector, has frayed voters鈥 patience in that strategy, polling suggests.

The most recent Ipsos Issues Monitor Poll found voters trust Labour more on the cost of living, the first time Labour has come ahead in that poll since before the last election.

Voters still trust National more on the overall economy, according to that poll. In a speech ahead of his post-Cabinet press conference on Monday, Luxon said the Government needed to 鈥渄ouble down鈥 on its economic strategy.

鈥淭he most important thing we can do to make you better off is to double down on our economic plan,鈥 he said.

鈥淪pending more, taxing more and borrowing more as Labour and other parties advocate for didn鈥檛 work in the past and it won鈥檛 work in the future,鈥 Luxon said.

Labour leader Chris Hipkins shot back, noting the length of Luxon鈥檚 post-Cabinet speech, which he gave alongside Willis.

鈥淚 think we should start calling them Fisher and Paykel because they鈥檝e got more spin than a front-load washing machine,鈥 Hipkins said, referring to Luxon and Willis.

Hipkins has come under pressure from the Government for Labour not releasing policy of its own.

He defended this on Tuesday morning, saying 鈥渨e will be doing policy鈥.

鈥淏ut some of those bigger issues around spending, borrowing, taxation, many of those will have to wait until closer to the election,鈥 he said, noting National finalised its tax policy less than two months before the election date in 2023 - although it published a version of its tax policy about a year earlier.

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